Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.642261 5.129068 5.648246 6.243720 6.908530 7.628701 8.468988
2026-01-04 3.892510 4.572307 5.347022 6.297735 7.436401 8.760548 10.423148
2026-01-11 3.328877 4.113940 5.059471 6.287859 7.849857 9.780716 12.365283
2026-01-18 2.881495 3.717087 4.771791 6.210554 8.137202 10.649189 14.206804
2026-01-25 2.528210 3.384087 4.509105 6.110517 8.354722 11.422236 15.991552
2026-02-01 2.245802 3.105174 4.275875 6.006468 8.532277 12.134636 17.752329
2026-02-08 2.014271 2.866791 4.065885 5.899779 8.676746 12.793909 19.490755
2026-02-15 1.839516 2.688439 3.918090 5.858824 8.899965 13.575433 21.488597
2026-02-22 1.733992 2.599148 3.888044 5.984776 9.381006 14.789991 24.307859
2026-03-01 1.604205 2.459613 3.766507 5.951271 9.597833 15.595192 26.531531
2026-03-08 1.460547 2.285086 3.573585 5.781104 9.566934 15.977870 28.055816
2026-03-15 1.359338 2.168905 3.462112 5.731476 9.728366 16.694503 30.249798
2026-03-22 1.302048 2.121308 3.460997 5.873044 10.244549 18.104362 33.945637
2026-03-29 1.243917 2.067434 3.444627 5.986204 10.721660 19.497114 37.801887
2026-04-05 1.175298 1.989870 3.380808 6.007630 11.030521 20.607486 41.245070
2026-04-12 1.100420 1.895267 3.279016 5.948953 11.179541 21.422664 44.184433
2026-04-19 1.028200 1.799659 3.167408 5.860653 11.259866 22.106412 46.930180
2026-04-26 0.961542 1.708991 3.057401 5.764667 11.313318 22.737475 49.640406
2026-05-03 0.900219 1.623570 2.950355 5.664300 11.346226 23.325848 52.329527
2026-05-10 0.852025 1.559164 2.877847 5.625923 11.503367 24.194991 55.796140
2026-05-17 0.826856 1.536596 2.883567 5.746800 12.011721 25.891409 61.511279
2026-05-24 0.785790 1.480276 2.818915 5.714940 12.181526 26.840122 65.494362
2026-05-31 0.733534 1.398424 2.697620 5.552231 12.041740 27.054452 67.612050